Toledo vs Buffalo 10/27/2012

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Toledo is a solid favorite with a 75% chance to beat Buffalo. David Fluellen is projected for 121 rushing yards and a 76% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 25% of simulations where Buffalo wins, Alex Zordich averages 2.1 TD passes vs 0.95 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 1.11 TDs to 1.3 interceptions. Branden Oliver averages 93 rushing yards and 1.07 rushing TDs when Buffalo wins and 80 yards and 0.56 TDs in losses. Toledo has a 57% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 81% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is BUF +9
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